Case Study: Is Bitcoin surging faster than the 2017 bull-run?
To see the true potential of the current BTC bull run, you need to compare it with the previous 2017 bull run. It took 91 days for Bitcoin to increase from $4.000 to $8.000 in 2017, while in 2019, it only took it 44 days. Noting the differences in both years, it very much looks as if the 2019 bullish momentum is stronger. From the 12th of August 2017 to the 8th of November 2017, BTC increased $4.000. The corresponding price action was gained this year from the 1st of April to the 13th of May (that's less than two months!)
Taking this into account, there are many arguments supporting the idea of 2019 bull run being even longer than the previous one, and more importantly, with a higher ceiling. During the last couple of weeks, not only Bitcoin buy many altcoins have moved in a parabolic manner, there are many reasons behind this, and many things have changed.
Firstly, a great majority of the projects in the crypto space have improved its infrastructure. In 2017, the capital was majorly being absorbed by ICOs, which many investments resulting in losses. Only the strongest projects “survived” the 13 months bear market, and during one year, all of them had the opportunity of developing robust compliance systems, as well as adding talented members to their teams, setting milestone features and releasing much more security-enhanced software.
Institutional adoption is also a key part of the board. SEC has given green light to investment vehicles, with many offers still waiting to be accepted (such as crypto ETFs). In addition, The Securities and Exchange Commission has started to provide guidelines for a tokenisation movement. National legislation is also being amended to give the crypto space more flexibility, giving more reasons to believe that adoption is far bigger this year.
Public awareness regarding blockchain technology is a key factor to take into account. In a very informal term, this bull run is more “organic”. While in 2017, many people entered the game purely based on greed, speculation and FOMO, this time, crypto enthusiasts had one year to learn the basics needed to invest in the market.
Lastly, the crypto space has won the reputation of being a safe-haven asset against the current trade war and a possible recession in 2020. As the crypto market is still uncorrelated with other financial assets, investors and fund managers are taking this as the perfect option to diversify their portfolios and hedge against economic downturns. Institutions such as Grayscale Investments is betting more on Bitcoin than on Gold to hedge the recession ahead. Many recognised firms such as Grayscale are already at the top of the adoption race and fully ready to be part of the new uptrend, which may see Bitcoin blast straight past $20,000 this time around.
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